Halfway There

The first half of January brought only tiny amounts of snow to Charlottesville. How is our snow potential looking for the second half of the month?

It's been a winter that snow lovers and skiers haven't been too happy with. Snow has been scarce to say the least. So far this snow season (which began on November 1) has only brought around half an inch of snow to the Charlottesville area. Most of that fell on January 9, when 0.4" fell across the city. Some of the outlying areas saw a bit more, but at McCormick Observatory, the official report will go down as 0.4". People are asking me on a daily basis when we will see more, so I've been doing much more long range forecasting lately. Here's my outlook for the remainder of the month of January.

For the first two weeks of January, the pattern has been a mild one. We will have some cold days every now and then, but overall it has been quite warm. This looks to stay the same for the rest of the month. All of the true arctic air has been locked up in Alaska and Canada and there hasn't really been any sign that the pattern will change. In fact, after a few chilly days during the middle of this week, it looks like more unseasonably warm air will move our way for the weekend.

Then there's the issue of moisture. We've had a few systems that have brought precipitation to our area this month, but most of them have taken tracks to our west. This puts us on the warm side of the storm, which is why we have had primarily rain. Looking out to the end of the month, it looks like this trend will remain the same, with most of the storms passing off to our west giving us mainly wet weather.

If you're ready for the backyard to be white instead of wet, don't give up hope just yet. There is still plenty of time left for snow this winter. February and March are notorious for bringing the potential for big snow storms to Virginia. Spring doesn't officially begin until March 20 and we've been known to have snow all the way into April!

So for a few more weeks, the snow shovels and sleds will continue to gather dust...

What are you thoughts on this winter so far? Have you enjoyed the reprieve from the winter weather or are you ready to get clobbered by "the big one?" Leave your response at the bottom of this blog in the comments section!

Until next time...

Brantley

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