For the past few days, I've been keeping an eye on the severe weather setup for Monday night here in central Virginia. Right now it looks like some of the ingredients for severe weather are coming together, but the overnight passage of the cold front may work to our advantage.
A strong cold front is diving out of the Plains and it's racing eastward. This will spread a swath of severe weather across the Ohio Valley on Monday, with a tornado outbreak possible across that area extending southward toward the Gulf of Mexico. By the time the front reaches Virginia, it will be well into the overnight hours of Monday night. Since the front won't be working with the daytime heating, this will help to limit the instability quite a bit. However, the front will have the ability to tap into very strong winds aloft and transfer them to the surface. Right now, the main threat from any storms Monday night looks to be the potential for damaging wind gusts in excess of 45 miles per hour. This front will slide eastward and after a few showers and storms early Tuesday morning, clearing will begin to take place. Cooler air will arrive behind the front, with our daytime highs on Tuesday only reaching into the upper 50s, after the lower to mid 80s on Monday!