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October Rainfall by the Numbers

The wet year continues with more precipitation in the near-term forecast. Where do we stand for the year rainfall-wise?


As we move through the second half of October 2011, we find ourselves in good shape with rainfall totals and area water tables. As of this morning, we're already exceeded our monthly average rainfall (3.74”) at the Charlottesville airport (KCHO) with a total of 3.92”. For the year, we're running a surplus of exactly five inches above normal with a total just under forty inches (39.41”).

While the numbers are impressive, perhaps a better perspective can be had when looking at the state drought monitor. As of October 11, less than five percent of the Commonwealth was experiencing abnormally dry conditions or worse. Last year at this time, that number was nearly 48 percent, with just more than 8% experiencing moderate to severe drought conditions. While many have told expressed to me their displeasure of all the rainy days we've had the last few months, those with agricultural interests are surely happy to not be dealing with soil that rivals the texture of concrete.

We do have more rain heading our way after midnight tomorrow morning that will continue through the day Wednesday. The computer guidance models hint at another half inch to inch of rain by early Thursday morning. After this dose of rain, we get a chance to dry out as sunshine returns to the area for the second half of the week. Cooler temperatures will also make a return as daytime highs teeter around the 60-degree mark into Saturday.

3, 2, 1, fade out...

Chief Meteorologist Travis Koshko

(This blog typed while listening to the hum of a noisy computer fan; I left my iPod at home.)

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