On Monday afternoon, a cluster of showers and thunderstorms in the western Caribbean Sea developed into Tropical Storm Paula, our sixteenth named storm of the season. Looking at past tropical seasons, we've only gotten to the "P" storm a handful of times dating back to 1995. The main question now becomes, exactly where does Paula go?
The computer models are having a difficult time latching on to exactly where Paula will go. It looks as if Paula will meander around the Yucatan Peninsula for at least the next three or four days and its track may do a complete circle. There are no real steering currents in the atmosphere to help push it along, which will lead to an erratic track and a slow forward speed. Some strengthening is possible and Paula may become a hurricane later this week. It looks as if Paula will have little to no impact on the United States at least over the next five days.
In case you were wondering, there is no "Q" name on the list, so if we were to see another storm develop we would go to the "R" name which is Richard.