Although we're technically in winter, the majority of days over the past few weeks have felt like anything but winter. Highs in the 50s, 60s, and 70s have been commonplace and anywhere from ten to thirty degrees above our seasonal normals. Temperatures will stay above normal for the next several days, breaking the cold monotony that plagued the region from November through late January.
In keeping with out spring-like conditions, we've got a pair of storms that will give us chances for rain over the next few days. The first system will bring us rain showers late this morning into the afternoon; showers will build to steadier rain overnight into the first half of Friday. This storm, currently located in the south central United States, will be full of moisture as it feeds off the warm Gulf waters. Due to its juicy nature, I think it's within reason that we see at least half an inch of rain or more by midday Friday. As always, a slight change in storm track may alter this, but I'm feeling confident that everyone will get a nice, free car wash for the end of the week. With temperatures above freezing, we're looking at all rain from this storm.
Storm system number two moves in late Sunday night into Monday and will also bring the potential for rain to the area. Early estimates for our area are from a quarter to half inch, and again with mild temperatures in place all rain is expected.
How badly do we need the rain? Our yearly deficit so far is a staggering four and a half inches below normal. In the last two months, only one time have we seen more than a tenth of an inch of rain in a day (January 26). So far this year, we've had less than two inches of rain; last year on this date we had over six and a half inches.
Time to break out the umbrellas!
3, 2, 1, fade out...
Chief Meteorologist Travis Koshko
(This blog entry written while listening to "Blame It On The Rain" by Milli Vanilli.)