All of the ingredients are coming into place to give us a very soggy scenario here across central Virginia for the next several days. A cold front will stall across Virginia and remnants of Tropical Storm Lee will slowly begin to work up that front. The end result will be the possibility for flooding across most of Virginia and up into parts of the Northeast.
The rain will come in a few rounds. The first batch of heavy rain will move in Monday night and continue into Tuesday morning. This will be the rain associated with the cold front. Rainfall totals by Tuesday morning could be in the 1 - 2" range. We will get a brief lull in the wet weather midday Tuesday, but expect the next wave of moisture to approach late in the day. Tuesday night and into Wednesday, we will get more rainfall courtesy of the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee. A few thunderstorms will even be a possibility during that time. The stalled front in the area could help to enhance the rainfall amounts by providing even extra lift across our area. 1 - 2" of additional rainfall could fall during this time.
Slowly but surely the area of low pressure associated with the tropical system will begin to lift away, but clouds and even a few showers will be possible through Friday. By the time the last raindrop falls, most of central Virginia will have picked up 3 - 5" of rain. Isolated higher totals are possible in mountainous terrain, with some amounts approaching 6". In some cases this will be more rain in a few days than we would typically see for the entire month of September. As a result, area rivers will be running quite high by the end of the week and some minor flooding is possible in flood-prone areas. Use caution when driving, especially at night and never attempt to cross a roadway covered in water.
Keep checking back here to www.cvilleweather.com for the latest on the soggy situation!