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Tropical Triple Threat

It may be late October, but the tropics are firing up again with three areas of interest on this Thursday evening.

Hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean officially runs through the end of November, but by late October things are usually winding down. There are plenty of reasons why tropical activity starts to wind down late in October. Upper level wind patterns become much more unfavorable for tropical development as strong cold fronts sweep farther south into areas of tropical formation. Water temperatures also begin to cool quickly during this time of year, limiting the fuel for tropical systems, which feed off of warm water.

Regardless of the increasingly unfavorable conditions, activity has jumped on this Thursday afternoon. There are three areas of interest and any one of these could become our next tropical depression. One system east of the Bahamas has the greatest chance of development, but there's also a strong tropical wave approaching the coast of South America. There's also a weaker disturbance well out to sea in the Atlantic Ocean.

We've already had 17 named storms in the Atlantic basin this season and the next names on the list are Shary, Tomas, and Virginie. If we do manage to get down to the "V" name, this would be the most active season we've had since 2005 when there were 27 named storms (the most active season on record). Looking prior to 2005, we haven't been that far down on the list in well over a decade. If and when any tropical storms develop, I'll have the latest information for you right here on www.cvilleweather.com! If you have any questions or comments about the tropics, feel free to post them in the comments section and I'll have a reply for you shortly.

Brantley

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