March 7, 2008
The first scenario in the Democratic nomination: Obama now leads in terms of delegates won in primaries and caucuses. So Clinton must convince enough superdelegates to effectively overcome those results.
How? First, political analysts say, she can keep them from running away. By winning primaries in Texas and Ohio, she likely stopped any who were thinking of defecting to Obama.
And if she keeps winning; they'll stay put. Second: She can stay in striking range, a close enough vote makes it look less like her supers are ignoring public will. And third: she's already doing it. She's telling the supers that because she has won big, critical states, she, not he can beat the Republicans.
"We're going strong and we're going all the way!" said Clinton.
Scenario two: This is how Barack Obama gets the nomination. With the lead, he appears to face an easier task. But the Clintons have many friends and allies in the party, and more super delegates are already in her camp.
What can he do? Analysts say first, he can remind the supers that he has won more delegates. The not so hidden message: ignore the public's choice at your peril.
Second: he can remind members of Congress and governors that if their super vote does not reflect the will of folks at home, their own re-elections could get dicey.
And third: it's the same, convince the supers that he, not she, can beat the GOP. We are on our way to winning this nomination.